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Daniel Kahneman: The Thought Leader Interview

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Michael Cote

Posts: 10306
Nickname: bushwald
Registered: May, 2003

Cote is a programmer in Austin, Texas.
Daniel Kahneman: The Thought Leader Interview Posted: Feb 16, 2004 7:34 PM
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S+B: So it’s not that generalized emotion influences decision making. It’s that one emotion — fear — distorts the perception of risk and introduces error into decision making.

KAHNEMAN: What actually happens with fear is that probability doesn’t matter very much. That is, once I have raised the possibility that something terrible can happen to your child, even though the possibility is remote, you may find it very difficult to think of anything else.

[...] Emotion becomes dominant. And emotion is dominated primarily by the possibility, by what might happen, and not so much by the probability. The more emotional the event is, the less sensible people are. So there is a big gap.

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