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The Cone of Uncertainty

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Franco Martinig

Posts: 5631
Nickname: martinig
Registered: Apr, 2003

Scrum Expert
The Cone of Uncertainty Posted: Nov 23, 2011 9:38 AM
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Original Post: The Cone of Uncertainty
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Uncertainty in Product Backlog is a big risk for the project schedule. The problem is that the full scope of the release can be quite hard to estimate because the requirements are not well-know early on. Confounding this problem is that frequently the release date is a hard deadline. This means that a team must perform an unknown about of work in a fixed amount of time. The “Cone of Uncertainty” describes the reduction of the uncertainty about scope after each iteration. At the uncertainty is eliminated and the exact ...

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