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The Web Standards Project has a pretty good article posted on a topic that has been receiving a lot of attention lately:

While the immediate impact of most of these technologies on the working web developer is minimal, over the long haul one or more of them will define the way we work for the next decade. In the near term, they will have tremendous impact on developers working on purpose-built applications inside corporations, and to a lesser degree on developers working on consumer applications as well.

—The Web as Platform – Chris Kaminski